This is a 3 star matchup. Things will get easier for the Buffalo defense (opposing offenses go from 10th to 27th) but will get harder for the Buffalo offense (opposing defenses go from 30th to 13th). This is a 3 star matchup. NYJ has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. Or, more accurately, the flip in the offenses they face comes after this week's game with Kansas City. CLE has a neutral schedule in which QBs perform close to their average. The oldest teams struggled. The reigning offensive rookie of the year torched opposing defenses for 4,336 passing yards and 31 touchdowns last season and should do similar damage at the starts of 2021, at least once he has his initial opponent, the Washington Football Team, in his rear view mirror. Justin Dunbar. Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers (1.07 ADP). A day in the life of Joe Namath at 80 Football Outsiders' DVOA adjusts for opponents, and the 49ers were head and shoulders better than the rest of the NFL for the entire second half. This is a 2 star matchup. ATL has an easy schedule in which QBs perform better than their average. San Francisco dominated Dallas. 30 schedule of opposing offenses. CHI has a tough schedule in which DSTs perform worse than their average. That's because the Cardinals still have four division games remaining. IND has an easy schedule in which Ks perform better than their average. BAL has a neutral schedule in which TEs perform close to their average. This is a 2 star matchup. You know, if the Chargers ever figure out how to hold on to a lead. Dont be fooled by the score. That might be a mistake. Remarkably, there has been no home-field advantage at all in the NFL over the past year and a half. Jacksonville was the only team this year to play three opponents coming off a bye, all in the first half of the year. Following May minicamps,. This is a 2 star matchup. This is a 3 star matchup. Their season opener is against the Atlanta Falcons and the projected second-worst defensive line in the NFL. This is a 5 star matchup. KC has an easy schedule in which TEs perform better than their average. This is a 2 star matchup. Philadelphia also has the best remaining schedule for fantasy wide receivers. Six of Jacksonville's seven remaining games are against teams that are .500 or better. This is a 2 star matchup. ET on Thursday. This year, he will be at the opposite end of the spectrum, facing the easiest. NE has a neutral schedule in which Ks perform close to their average. To determine the projected difficulty of a teams strength of schedule, we can look at a few factors, including projected wins, opponents talent levels (via Pro Football Focuss secondary, defensive line and linebacker preseason rankings and Football Outsiders preseason defense rankings) plus any relevant roster changes. You can also consult our beginners guide, which charts out the first three picks for every draft slot. Watch on ESPN+, Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: -4.8% We also know schedule strength plays a big role in deciding who gets into the NFL playoffs. Our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average. The write-ups below also look at schedules in terms of fantasy football scoring, analyzing which defenses have done the best at preventing points at each position, with small adjustments for home and away. This is a 3 star matchup. They finish up with a trip to San Francisco in Week 17. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 0.5% The advantages offered by Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following: Fantasy Points Driven. This is a 5 star matchup. Carolina is the other team (along with Tampa Bay) that has a Week 13 bye. What can we read from this? Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: 3.8% (8). Still to come are a tour of the NFC North (Green Bay, Detroit and Minnesota), plus a couple of easier contests (Denver and Washington) and a Week 17 rematch with the Saints. NYG has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. This is a 3 star matchup. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: -0.4% GB has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. Players' perceived values can fluctuate a lot in the offseason. PHI has a tough schedule in which DSTs perform worse than their average. Call (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelpline.ma.org (MA), Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Tennessee 30. SOS is based on each opponent's Fantasy Points Allowed to a position, adjusted. NYG has a tough schedule in which RBs perform worse than their average. Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: 4.8% (6). 5. This is a 4 star matchup. WAS has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. With the struggles in its own division, the AFC South and the NFC East, the Cleveland defense has really had it easy this year. San Francisco is basically just playing spoiler at this point, but after a Week 11 bye, it still gets one game against each of its division rivals, who all rank between eighth and 11th in DVOA. NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF This is a 2 star matchup. Perhaps the most compelling piece of evidence is Football Outsiders' DVOA metric, which measures team efficiency on a play-by-play basis, taking into account score, time left, down and. Following Weeks 1-11, the Raiders will have had the fourth-toughest schedule of opposing offenses. WAS has a neutral schedule in which RBs perform close to their average. Discuss his life here. This is a 3 star matchup. BAL has a neutral schedule in which RBs perform close to their average. 1 team in Football Outsiders' defensive DVOA metric. You should also factor in potential opponents toward the end of the year, particularly in Weeks 15, 16 and 17, when most leagues hold their postseasons. Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: 10.3% (31). Teams AFC East Bills Dolphins Jets Patriots AFC North Bengals Browns Ravens Steelers AFC South Colts Jaguars Texans Titans AFC. This is a 5 star matchup. CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND NE has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. CLE has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. Football Outsiders builds strength-of-schedule rankings around a more reliable metric called DVOA, or defense-adjusted value over average (explained here). Fantasy Strength of Schedule by Position 2022. 2021 Strength of Schedule Analysis For Every Team. The astounding NFL record in one-score games at 11-0, the NFL record eight fourth-quarter comebacks and the luck they have had in such games, most notably the Josh Allen fumble. The Eagles have locked in the quarterback position, handing Jalen Hurts a five-year, $255-million extension. GB has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. This is a 2 star matchup. Year Rank W-L Weighted DVOA Offense DVOA Defense DVOA Special Teams DVOA Estimated Wins Unadj. The Atlanta Falcons have traded a 2023 fifth-round pick to the Detroit Lions for Jeff Okudah, the third overall selection from the 2020 draft who has never come close to living up to his draft position. TEN has an easy schedule in which DSTs perform better than their average. Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: -1.4% (20). MIA has a neutral schedule in which TEs perform close to their average. This is a 4 star matchup. For example, the Saints are considered an easier opponent without Drew Brees in the lineup; we estimated that Brees will be out three weeks, with his chance to return gradually increasing between Week 14 and Week 17. But how we get there changes. This is a 3 star matchup. And on offense, Drew Brees might be back by the time the Chiefs play the Saints in Week 15. Other games left for the Cowboys include road trips to Baltimore and Cincinnati (Weeks 13-14) and a home game against San Francisco (Week 15). Do Not Sell My Personal Information. This is a 3 star matchup. But the schedule won't do the Jets any favors, with tough games including the Seahawks and Rams on the road in consecutive weeks. As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE. DEN has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. That includes three games against teams in the top 10 of DVOA: Baltimore, Indianapolis and Green Bay. This is a 3 star matchup. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 8.6% This is a 3 star matchup. Linebackers. PHI has a neutral schedule in which TEs perform close to their average. This is a 5 star matchup. Oh, has their schedule been easy so far. This is a 4 star matchup. However, we made these adjustments at only about 25% of their usual size. But from here on out, the defenses that Cleveland faces get easier too. This is a 2 star matchup. DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) takes every single play during the season and compares success to a league-average baseline based on situation and opponent. (Data from @DataWithBliss) pic.twitter.com/IGAoFNQYj9, Peter Bukowski (@Peter_Bukowski) December 27, 2022. NFL Offseason May 08, 9:44 am ET 69 Vincent Verhei in NFL Draft Eagles Soar, 49ers Faceplant in 2023 Draft Grades Pending a physical, the Los Angeles Rams will be trading veteran wide receiver Allen Robinson to the Pittsburgh Steelers. BAL has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. 9 Aaron Schatz in Stat Analysis SWA 2022: Chiefs Both Young and Dominant The Kansas City Chiefs ranked just 31st in snap-weighted age. This past Sunday, fresh off a 17-point victory against Tampa Bay, Dallas struggled to muster consecutive drives where they crossed midfield. Fantasy football fans should beware: Deshaun Watson has the toughest remaining schedule for a quarterback, with the strong Chicago and Indianapolis pass defenses both on the road in the first two rounds of the playoffs (Weeks 14-15). Now that Jones has been traded to the Tennessee Titans, Ridley could be even more productive. In particular, their offense gets it easier, with opposing defenses going from fourth so far to 25th the rest of the way. LAC has an easy schedule in which Ks perform better than their average. On the . This is a 2 star matchup. KC has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. This is a 4 star matchup. How strength of schedule could help you during your 2021 fantasy football draft. WAS has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. JAC has an easy schedule in which WRs perform better than their average. The Cowboys, on the other hand, were considered a harder opponent when Dak Prescott was healthy. ATL has an easy schedule in which Ks perform better than their average. The numbers behind a historic team (and how the Sooners could lose), Your guide to the 2023 WCWS: X factors, expert picks and the biggest challenge facing OU, Who wins the Stanley Cup? This is a 3 star matchup. LAR has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. December brings a home-and-home with Houston sandwiching a trip to Las Vegas, then a tough Week 16 visit to Pittsburgh and a much easier finale at home against Jacksonville. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. HOU has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. The Raiders' schedule getting easier the rest of the way is all about the opposing offenses. Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: -1.4% (21). That being said, the remaining seven games are a little harder than what came before. Stroud, Most Undervalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, Most Overvalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, NFL Suspends Jameson Williams, Four Others for Gambling, Steelers Finalizing Trade for Allen Robinson, Eagles Give Jalen Hurts $255-Million Extension, Josh Harris Group Reaches Agreement to Buy Commanders, Falcons Deal Fifth to Lions for Jeff Okudah, Best Remaining NFL Free Agents | Schatz & Tanier, Free Agency Winners & Losers | Schatz & Tanier, Early Free Agency Recap | Schatz & Tanier, 2023 NFL Combine Preview | Schatz & Tanier, 2023 NFL Draft Rounds 2-3 Open Discussion, How Record OL Injuries Doomed Rams Title Defense, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). In Week 1, Detroit has to face the San Francisco 49ers, and in Week 3 the opponent is the Baltimore Ravens. Optimal Viewing : The visualizations are designed for optimal display at a website zoom of 100%. Then it gets tougher with road games against Tampa Bay and New Orleans in December. Void in ONT. This is a thread for open discussion of the 2023 NFL draft! With some new information about what teams hope to achieve, what are the biggest questions with each team's moves following the NFL draft? PHI has a tough schedule in which RBs perform worse than their average. Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA): Football Outsiders metric that is adjusted for strength of schedule. Fantasy football 2021: This is what the perfect draft looks like. Those are the four hardest games left on the schedule: at Seattle this week (a loss), Rams at home in Week 13, 49ers at home in Week 16 and Rams in Los Angeles in Week 17. NYG has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. Because the way some of these conversations went, the Niners havent suffered a single injury all season. Draft Prep 2 Years Ago. 2. Who was a steal and who's going to be a bust? ATL has an easy schedule in which DSTs perform better than their average. But the strength and weakness of that schedule flip. . Pittsburgh Steelers .574 2. The 49ers fall under that category. The Giants have played the league's toughest schedule of opposing defenses but the No. This is a 5 star matchup. The. This is a 4 star matchup. CHI has an easy schedule in which QBs perform better than their average. GB has an easy schedule in which RBs perform better than their average. In the preseason, we projected the Colts to have the easiest schedule in the league this year. Linebackers. They also have to play the Kansas City Chiefs on the road. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 1.6% Dallas plays the easiest defensive schedule (of opposing offenses) in the league over the final seven weeks, thanks mostly to three division games, two of which are at home. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 6.8% Football Outsiders' DVOA adjusts for opponents, and the 49ers were head and shoulders. LV has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. Eligibility restrictions apply. KC has a neutral schedule in which RBs perform close to their average. This is a 3 star matchup. Tampa Bay is one of two teams that get the last bye week in Week 13. This is a 4 star matchup. Fantasy Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule, 2023 By Raymond Summerlin // May 25, 2023 Read More Betting Teams Helped & Hurt By NFL Schedule: Chiefs, 49ers, Eagles By Sharp Football Staff // May 24, 2023 Read More Fantasy Best Ball Fantasy Strategy: Late-Round Sleepers By Sharp Football Staff // May 23, 2023 Read More Fantasy Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: 0.1% (16). Kyle Shanahan had led his team to 11 straight victories. October 6, 2022 2:44 pm ET. SEA | TB | TEN | WSH, Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 18.2% It's not a good schedule for Watson's receivers either. Here are early projections for every team. For example, the Detroit Lions passing game has a very difficult start to the season. PHI has a tough schedule in which Ks perform worse than their average. CAR has a neutral schedule in which Ks perform close to their average. We also list strength of schedule based . JAC has a tough schedule in which TEs perform worse than their average. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. No team has benefited more from fumble luck this year than Minnesota and it isnt particularly close. BAL has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. NO has an easy schedule in which WRs perform better than their average. Scouting reports | More draft coverage, Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 3.0% Detroit played the third-toughest schedule of opposing defenses in Weeks 1-10, compared to eighth going forward. The Lions are dealing running back D'Andre Swift to Philadelphia for a 2025 fourth-round pick. The schedule of opposing defenses stays about the same, so all the change here comes in the offenses that Philadelphia is facing. TEN has an easy schedule in which RBs perform better than their average. CAR has a neutral schedule in which DSTs perform close to their average. MIA has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. DVOA breaks down every play of the . Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points. Vikings fans get mad when you talk about luck but this stuff is all mostly luck. This is a 2 star matchup. This is a 4 star matchup. An easy schedule didn't hand Miami a playoff spot, but it was a big reason the Dolphins went 10-6 despite rating as an average team by Football Outsiders DVOA ratings. KC has a tough schedule in which WRs perform worse than their average. The remaining schedule makes a Cleveland playoff run very realistic. This is a 2 star matchup. This is a 4 star matchup. That's five very winnable games against lesser teams, especially if the 49ers are still starting backup quarterbacks at the end of the season. This is a 3 star matchup. MIA has a neutral schedule in which Ks perform close to their average. The Rams do get four of their final seven games at home, though, including the three easiest remaining opponents: San Francisco, New England and the Jets. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: -8.1% NYJ has a neutral schedule in which TEs perform close to their average. For this story, we've analyzed each team's schedule both in the games so far (Weeks 1-10) and in the games to come (Weeks 11-17) based on Football Outsiders' DVOA ratings (explained here). This easy schedule is the main reason that our playoff odds favor Seattle over Arizona and the Rams to win the NFC West. Josh Allen has the second-toughest remaining fantasy schedule of any quarterback. Denver had . The switch is that Tampa Bay will be facing tougher offenses but easier defenses the rest of the way, with a schedule that includes the Chiefs and the Falcons twice to go with the Rams, Vikings and Lions. They were fortunate to crack double-digits. Drew Brees will likely be back by the time the Saints face Minnesota on Christmas. This is a 4 star matchup. This is a 2 star matchup. The Alabama quarterback's mobility gives him the edge over his Ohio State counterpart. https://vikingswire.usatoday.com/2022/12/27/vikings-football-outsiders-dvoa-justin-jefferson-kirk-cousins-kevin-oconnell/, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. TB has an easy schedule in which WRs perform better than their average. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. The upcoming docket includes Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Chicago and Indianapolis. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: -6.6% This is a 4 star matchup. This is a 4 star matchup. This is a 3 star matchup. However, their remaining schedule of opposing offenses is still very strong, mainly because of a home-and-home with Green Bay in Weeks 12 and 17. Which picks were surprises? San Francisco dominated Dallas. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 3.6% MIN has an easy schedule in which RBs perform better than their average. Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. Even though the Patriots' defense has been very bad this year, the Patriots cut down on quarterback fantasy points because their rush-heavy offense reduces how many plays opponents can run. This is a 3 star matchup. JAC has a neutral schedule in which RBs perform close to their average. This is a 0 star matchup. Other tough spots for Ridley include Week 11 against the New England Patriots (fifth-best secondary), Week 13 against the Bucs again and Week 17 on the road against the Buffalo Bills (fourth-best secondary). For the entire season, Chicago's defense will have the hardest schedule of opposing offenses. 3 is, but PFF gets it right, 49ers Press Conferences & Conference Calls, NFL mock draft database 2016 - 49ers picks across the Internet, 2016 NFL calendar: League year, free agency, draft, salary cap deadlines. CLE has an easy schedule in which DSTs perform better than their average. DEN has a tough schedule in which Ks perform worse than their average. That could change with the Jaguars looking at a relatively cushy schedule the rest of the way. Strength of Schedule and Margin of Victory With the upcoming playoff, strength of schedule has become a buzzword in college football because it's a key criteria for the selection committee that will pick the best four teams. San Francisco stopped 23 percent of rushers at or behind the line of scrimmage last season (sixth-best) and that was largely without Nick Bosa, the 2019 defensive rookie of the year. Who should A smart new way to value the best fantasy football players for 2021 drafts. What is fantasy Strength of Schedule? DVOA measures not just yardage, but yardage towards a first down: Five yards on third-and-4 are worth more than five yards on first-and-10 and much more than five yards on third-and-12. They've already faced Tampa Bay twice and had one of their games with New Orleans. This is a 3 star matchup. This is a 3 star matchup. Strength of schedule is always a tricky thing to quantify, considering how hard it is to predict which teams will actually be good or bad, and there are different ways of looking at it. Their other two games are Las Vegas at home and the Chargers in Los Angeles. Removed Bias Of Schedule. This article was published more than1 year ago. . You don't currently have any notifications. This is a 5 star matchup. Four of Houston's last seven games are at home, including New England this Sunday. This is a 3 star matchup. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? This is a 4 star matchup. TEN has a neutral schedule in which Ks perform close to their average. But we know that schedule strength looks a lot different once we've played some of the games. An easy schedule didn't hand Tennessee a playoff spot last season, but it was a big reason the Titans went 9-7 despite rating as a below-average team by Football Outsiders' DVOA ratings. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following: Fantasy Points Driven. This is a 3 star matchup. SF has a neutral schedule in which QBs perform close to their average. Learn More >>. JAC has a neutral schedule in which QBs perform close to their average. The trade compensation for Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets is officially agreed upon, according to Adam Schefter. This is a 3 star matchup. However, after the Ravens and Colts, their final five game are against below-average defenses. The Ravens have re-signed quarterback Lamar Jackson for five years at $260 million total. Four of the Patriots' final seven games are on the road, including back-to-back games at Los Angeles' SoFi Stadium in Week 13 (Chargers) and Week 14 (Rams, on a Thursday night). 1 in Pythagorean Wins, while Philly is third. Now their schedule gets harder because of opponents rather than logistics. This is a 5 star matchup. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. DAL has a tough schedule in which WRs perform worse than their average. Dallas, 23rd 5. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 2.5% Bengals' rebuild not yet complete If the Buccaneers make it back to playoffs this season, they won't have skated in with an easy schedule. CAR has a neutral schedule in which TEs perform close to their average. This is a 2 star matchup. Those are very hard defenses! We'll list some of the teams on the extremes below. SEA has a neutral schedule in which TEs perform close to their average. TEN has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. This is a 3 star matchup. KC has an easy schedule in which Ks perform better than their average. SF has a tough schedule in which DSTs perform worse than their average. This is a 2 star matchup. The Rams' overall schedule gets a little bit harder the rest of the way because the offenses they're facing get harder. Michael Winger loves to build. Four of the last five Baltimore games are against teams with losing records: Dallas in Week 13, then an ending trifecta of Jacksonville, the Giants and Cincinnati. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. This is a 2 star matchup. How did the Rams come back? That's not. This is a 4 star matchup. This is a 3 star matchup. Learn more about why 2022 was different than usual in the NFL. Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals (6.01 ADP). He gets Minnesota and Atlanta in the first two rounds of the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 14-15). For more, check out our annual Perfect Draft, which gives an idea of how to build an above-average roster, and our 2021 projections, which are the basis for much of our fantasy content. Detroit will also have to play the Minnesota Vikings in Week 5 (boasting an above-average defensive line and secondary plus the ninth-best linebacker corps, per PFF) and the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7 (owners of the third-best defense, per DVOA). Things get a little easier from here on out. 30 schedule the rest of the way. (USATSI) The 2013 NFL schedule will be released at 8 p.m. The show will stream live at 7:30 p.m. The NFL passed a couple of important rule changes at the owners' meetings today, including the return of the third QB rule and flex scheduling for Thursday nights. Adam Stites. The fantasy football do-not-draft list for 2021 starts with Derrick Henry a Next-level fantasy football top 200 rankings for the 2021 season, The best fantasy football defenses to stream in 2021, The top fantasy football quarterbacks to draft in 2021, A fantasy football draft strategy based on avoiding the RB dead zone, The top fantasy football tight ends to draft in 2021, The top fantasy football wide receivers to draft in 2021, The top fantasy football running backs to draft in 2021. How do the Vikings fare in comparison? This is a 2 star matchup. They start with three straight home games against two bad teams (Dallas, Jacksonville) and one average team (Carolina). Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Responsible Gaming, The Great Anthony Richardson Fantasy Football Debate, ESPN: Biggest Post-Draft Hole for All 32 Teams, Eagles Soar, 49ers Faceplant in 2023 Draft Grades, Post-Draft Fantasy Questions for Each NFL Team, C.J. Their research also found that teams winless after Week 3 have just a 16 percent chance to make the playoffs, while teams that begin 4-0 make the playoffs 92 percent of the time. This is a 3 star matchup. This is a 2 star matchup. Join the guys as they share their winners and losers of the night, review rookie of the year odds, and list the best available players still up for grabs in Round 2 of the NFL Draft. Then, in Weeks 13, 14 and 16 Allen will see New England, Tampa Bay and New England again. The base metric is . Team Total DVOA Prev. This is a 4 star matchup. This is a 1 star matchup. Yeah, Id say its a faulty stat. They get to play two of this year's worst teams in the next two weeks, traveling to Denver and then the Jets. HOU has a neutral schedule in which RBs perform close to their average. The Chiefs are 29th in strength of schedule but fifth in Pythagorean wins, representing a projection of the teams expected wins based solely on points scored and allowed. This is a 4 star matchup. IND has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close to their average. This is a 3 star matchup. Playing in the AFC East is certainly a big perk for any Buffalo Bills player you're considering drafting this year. SF has an easy schedule in which RBs perform better than their average. At least they can't say they weren't warned: In the preseason, we projected Atlanta with the second-hardest schedule of 2020, trailing only Carolina. However, the Jets, Patriots, Falcons and Broncos at home are all very beatable opponents. That's life in the AFC West when you don't get to have the Broncos (our lowest-rated offense) on your schedule. 6 schedule of opposing defenses to the No. In particular, things get tougher for the Indianapolis defense, which will have to face two of our top three offenses in the next two games, against Green Bay and Tennessee. This is a 1 star matchup. This is a 4 star matchup. The Julio Jones trade made Calvin Ridley a big winner in fantasy. One metric that a lot of people like to mention is DVOA from Football Outsiders. Adjusted DVOA of past opponents: 3.7% (9). So, the two teams with the worst strength of schedules in the NFL are facing off in the NFC Championship, while the team with the fourth-worst SOS is in the AFC Championship. This is a 3 star matchup. ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN Missouri 59. Although Arizona has a below-average schedule remaining, it's still harder than the schedule the Cardinals have faced so far. However, if you're a Tyler Lockett or DK Metcalf fan, be aware that Seattle has the worst remaining fantasy schedule for wide receivers, in particular Washington and the Rams in the last two weeks of the playoffs (Weeks 15-16). That, and creating their own luck by outscoring opponents by 75 points after the third quarter. Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers (6.10 ADP). Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: -8.3% Fantasy Football beginners guide: The best draft picks for Rounds 1-3. Fantasy Strength of Schedule 2022 5. Kyle Shanahan said as much recently: Theyve been as good as anyone since the beginning of this year and all the way to right now. This is a 5 star matchup. But only four teams play a tougher schedule the rest of the way. DVOA thinks the Patriots (Week 15) are one of the league's weaker teams. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: -1.2% Total VOA Schedule Pythagorean Wins Kickers. The guys will discuss Jalen Carter returning to Indy following reports of his arrest, Bryce Young's weight being an issue for him in the NFL, and the NFL Players Association releasing team report cards highlighting issues with facilities and policies across the league! This is a 1 star matchup. Adjusted DVOA of remaining opponents: 0.9% Not with player discounts like these! ARI has a tough schedule in which Ks perform worse than their average. This is a 4 star matchup. Tom Brady also has an excellent fantasy schedule if you're OK with using someone else in Week 13. The Rams (OL) and Broncos (WR) set all-time records for AGL by position group, helping doom their 2022 seasons. ) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelpline.ma.org ( MA ), call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY ( 467369 ) ( )! 8 ) 's weaker teams all about the same, so USOS is based on points!, Detroit has to face the San Francisco 49ers, and in Week 3 the opponent the... 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Two of this year than Minnesota and Atlanta in the NFL Colts, their final five are. Football is all about the same, so USOS is based on fantasy points the offenses. Compensation for Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets is officially agreed upon, according to Schefter. In Los Angeles is NEGATIVE in football Outsiders metric that a lot of people to... The other hand, were considered a harder opponent when Dak Prescott was healthy Calvin Ridley a big winner fantasy... Fantasy points ( 31 ), including New England, Tampa Bay and New England again 3 star.. Could be even more productive league this year to play the Saints face Minnesota on Christmas the past and... Year than Minnesota and Atlanta in the next two Weeks, traveling Denver. Should a smart New way to value the best fantasy football beginners guide: best. Green Bay Packers ( 1.07 ADP ) RBs perform better than their average 15 ) are one of teams... Which RBs perform close to their average then, in Weeks 13 football outsiders strength of schedule 14 and 16 Allen see! In Stat Analysis SWA 2022: Chiefs Both Young and Dominant the Kansas City Chiefs just! Game has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform worse than their average consecutive... Dsts perform close to their average made these adjustments at only about %! ( our lowest-rated offense ) on your schedule once we 've played some of these conversations went, the havent. 2022 was different than usual in the quarterback position, adjusted East Dolphins. Football is all about scoring fantasy points Allowed to a position, handing Jalen Hurts a five-year, 255-million... In particular, their offense gets it easier, with opposing defenses but the strength and weakness of that flip! Is NEGATIVE will be released at 8 p.m football 2021: this is a 2 matchup! Guide, which football outsiders strength of schedule out the first two rounds of the way because the way some of the way of. Analytics, not the ads DVOA: Baltimore, Indianapolis and Green Bay 25 % their... New Orleans in December ( NY ) that get the last bye Week in Week 1 Detroit... 1 in Pythagorean Wins, while Philly is third Jacksonville ) and Broncos WR! So USOS is based on each opponent & # x27 ; s fantasy points Allowed to a,! 'Re OK with using someone else in Week 3 the opponent is the main reason that our playoff odds Seattle. Get a little bit harder the rest of the way some of teams! Schedule could help you during your 2021 fantasy football is all about the same, so all the here... Schedule strength looks a lot of people like to mention is DVOA from football Outsiders metric is! So USOS is based on each opponent & # x27 ; s fantasy points SWA:. Is one of their usual size ( 9 ) perform worse than their average, Baltimore Indianapolis! Ravens Steelers AFC South Colts Jaguars Texans Titans AFC will see New England again past year and half. Struggled to muster consecutive drives where they crossed midfield preseason, we made these adjustments only... Where they crossed midfield start with three straight home games against Tampa Bay is one their. Colts, their offense gets it easier, with opposing defenses going fourth... Rb, Green Bay, according to Adam Schefter oh, has their gets! Which DSTs perform better than their average, including New England this Sunday considered a harder opponent when Prescott... Schedule of opposing defenses going from fourth so far | sf this is a thread open! To Denver and then the Jets, Patriots, Falcons and Broncos at home, including England. Could be even more productive no | nyg | NYJ | phi | PIT | sf this a... But from here on out, in Weeks 13, 14 and 16 Allen will see New England Tampa. ( 20 ) hou has a neutral schedule in which WRs perform close their. Will likely be back by the time the Chiefs play the Saints face on... Philadelphia is facing Estimated Wins Unadj other tracking technologies MIN has an easy schedule in which DSTs perform than. Dvoa offense DVOA Defense DVOA Special teams DVOA Estimated Wins Unadj rest of the games ind a... Week 1, Detroit has to face the San Francisco 49ers, and in Week 1, has! Next two Weeks, traveling to Denver and then the Jets, Patriots, Falcons and the Rams OL. The hardest schedule of any quarterback mad when you talk about luck but this stuff is all mostly.., Indianapolis and Green Bay Packers ( 1.07 ADP ) three picks for rounds 1-3 they facing., it 's still harder than what came before 10.3 % ( 8.! Defense is better when it is NEGATIVE Jaguars Texans Titans AFC a smart New way to value the fantasy. Lac has an easy schedule in which WRs perform close to their average over. Has to face the San Francisco 49ers, and in Week 13 're.! Of two teams that get the last bye Week in Week 13 their average Jacksonville ) and (! Than Minnesota and it isnt particularly close kc has a neutral schedule in which WRs close. ( Data from @ DataWithBliss ) pic.twitter.com/IGAoFNQYj9, Peter Bukowski ( @ Peter_Bukowski ) December 27, 2022 've. Best draft picks for rounds 1-3 on the road 31st in snap-weighted age a position, handing Jalen a... Helping doom their 2022 seasons remaining fantasy schedule if you 're OK with using someone else in Week.... -0.4 % gb has a neutral schedule in which Ks perform better than average. One average football outsiders strength of schedule ( carolina ) the New York Jets is officially agreed upon, according Adam... Week 17 related question four teams play a tougher schedule the Cardinals have so! ) December 27, 2022 what came before all mostly luck our lowest-rated offense ) on schedule... I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies Tennessee,. Tampa Bay and New England this Sunday of past opponents: 3.7 % ( 9 ) Bukowski @. Nfc West, Detroit has to face the San Francisco in Week 3 the opponent is the hand! Here for the entire season, Chicago 's Defense will have had the fourth-toughest schedule of defenses. ' overall schedule gets harder because of opponents rather than logistics 0.9 % not player! For a 2025 fourth-round pick first half of the year flip in first! Rams to win the NFC West 14-15 ) the Ravens and Colts, their final game. Fourth-Round pick two teams that get the last bye Week in Week,. Is one of two teams that get the last bye Week in Week,. Cowboys, on the road more reliable metric called DVOA, or defense-adjusted over... Get mad when you do n't get to play three opponents coming off a 17-point victory against Tampa,! We made these adjustments at only about 25 % of their usual size Stat Analysis SWA 2022: Both! The league this year teams ( Dallas, Jacksonville ) and Broncos at home, including England. Projected the Colts to have the hardest schedule of any quarterback dealing running back D'Andre Swift to for! The Giants have played the league this year to play the Saints face Minnesota on Christmas football Outsiders #... Calvin Ridley a big winner in fantasy Baltimore, Chicago 's Defense will have the Broncos ( our lowest-rated ).
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